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Prof. Ellen Powell

Thursday 26th November 2020

Branching processes on the brink of extinction

Suppose that in a population, particles die and give birth to a random number of offspring each year (all with the same distribution and independently of each other). It is a well-known and intuitive fact that if the expected number of offspring is less than one, the population will become extinct with probability one. On the other hand, if this expectation is greater than one, the population may survive forever. This talk will focus on what happens when the expected number of offspring is exactly equal to one, both in this simple model and others with additional spatial information.

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